Climate Denial Crock of the Week

5 Responses to “Ian Bringing 12 to 18 Foot Storm Surge”

1. neilrieck Says:

   
   September 28, 2022 at 9:34 am

   Now that annual sea level rise has accelerated to 3.9 mm per year, larger storm surges will accompany every hurricane, tropical storm or high tide. Remember that sea level rise is vertical while beaches are sloped.

   https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/150192/tracking-30-years-of-sea-level-rise

   Reply
2. afeman Says:

   
   September 28, 2022 at 9:41 am

   This is weirdly close to one of the “gray swan” scenarios from that Emanuel paper:

   https://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/109495

   Reply
   • rhymeswithgoalie Says:

     
     September 29, 2022 at 10:51 am

     The discussion of a “worst case scenario” is all very dramatic and a necessary thought experiment, but it’s out at the tiny end of probability, whereas the “not the worst but a really, really horrible scenario” is a lot higher probability.

     Something like Ian will impoverish a lot of people who previously thought of themselves as middle class, and trigger the death spiral of a lot of communities that will never rebuild a tax base out of collapsing property values.

     Reply
3. jimbills Says:

   
   September 28, 2022 at 4:31 pm

   Pretty accurate prediction from the Weather Channel:

   Storm surge outside of my moms house on Fort Myers Beach.

   I’m so sick. pic.twitter.com/12ujJqmacH

   — Beth 🌪️ (@itsbethbooker) September 28, 2022

   Reply
4. jimbills Says:

   
   September 28, 2022 at 4:45 pm

   [video src="https://vp.nyt.com/video/2022/09/28/102670_1_28vid-Ian-Satellite-landfall_wg_480p.mp4" /]

   Reply

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