Level 4 worries me. When the car is doing all the work and the driver has to pay attention, but just sit there, attention will wander. That is human nature.
IIRC, Tesla intends to jump from Level-3 to Level-5 with FSD (full self drive). Now I live in Waterloo Ontario where we watched a Tesla meet its owner in a rain storm at the door of a Cost-Co last year. Think about that: the car needed to back out from where ever it was parked, not hit anything including animals or small children, then find its way to its owner “in a rain storm”. Was there GPS in the owner’s key-fob? (I don’t know). Anyway, Tesla has more than 1,000 people only working on Machine-Learning/A.I. so I am convinced that the first few companies that crack this problem will get rich licensing their software to others. One last point: 94% of all traffic fatalities are caused by human error. Once Level-5/FSD is working, the insurance companies will charge you double for not using it.
And probably misses. I think it is pretty safe to say the Full Self Driving becomes exponentially harder the closer one gets to the final goal line. Tesla, which is the world leader at this stuff thought they would have it cold years ago.
And Tesla has an asset Apple can only dream of – millions of cars self-reporting the self-driving back to HQ every few days. Not to mention the best technical staff in the world and their own in-car computer hardware specifically designed for FSD.
This is going to be a lot harder than developing algorithms for taking great photos with a phone camera. Good luck, Apple, you are going to need it.
November 19, 2021 at 4:29 pm
Level 4 worries me. When the car is doing all the work and the driver has to pay attention, but just sit there, attention will wander. That is human nature.
November 20, 2021 at 8:59 am
IIRC, Tesla intends to jump from Level-3 to Level-5 with FSD (full self drive). Now I live in Waterloo Ontario where we watched a Tesla meet its owner in a rain storm at the door of a Cost-Co last year. Think about that: the car needed to back out from where ever it was parked, not hit anything including animals or small children, then find its way to its owner “in a rain storm”. Was there GPS in the owner’s key-fob? (I don’t know). Anyway, Tesla has more than 1,000 people only working on Machine-Learning/A.I. so I am convinced that the first few companies that crack this problem will get rich licensing their software to others. One last point: 94% of all traffic fatalities are caused by human error. Once Level-5/FSD is working, the insurance companies will charge you double for not using it.
November 21, 2021 at 1:22 pm
“Apple Shoots for Autonomous EV in 2025”
And probably misses. I think it is pretty safe to say the Full Self Driving becomes exponentially harder the closer one gets to the final goal line. Tesla, which is the world leader at this stuff thought they would have it cold years ago.
And Tesla has an asset Apple can only dream of – millions of cars self-reporting the self-driving back to HQ every few days. Not to mention the best technical staff in the world and their own in-car computer hardware specifically designed for FSD.
This is going to be a lot harder than developing algorithms for taking great photos with a phone camera. Good luck, Apple, you are going to need it.