New Heat Wave to Slam West

June 23, 2021

It has barely cooled off from a scorching June, now summer begins in earnest in the west.

Meanwhile, in the upper midwest, we had frost warnings the night before last.

Earther:

The West hasn’t totally cooled off, but the region has gotten a slight reprieve from the heat that has dried up reservoirscurtailed hydropower, and otherwise wrought havoc on the megadrought-afflicted region. Unfortunately, all good(ish) things must come to an end.

The National Weather Service is warning of a “Record-Breaking and Dangerous Heatwave” hitting this weekend and early next week. Weather models are also coalescing around blistering heat. If the forecasts come to fruition, we’re not just talking about a few daily records falling here and there. We’re talking about a heat wave for the ages that could absolutely destroy all-time records from Washington to California as well as parts of Canada.

In what’s becoming an all-too-familiar pattern for those in the western half of the U.S., high pressure is expected to move in and park itself over the region in the coming days. That will usher in sunny skies and allow heat to start to build. By Sunday, a region from the Yukon to Southern California could see temperatures well above normal. The bullseye of heat will center on the Pacific Northwest where temperatures could be an eye-watering 40 degrees Fahrenheit (22 degrees Celsius) above normal.

Meanwhile, leaked IPCC report has more bad tidings.

10 Responses to “New Heat Wave to Slam West”

  1. dumboldguy Says:

    This has been predicted—-now that it’s here and we can’t do anything about it, it’s time to talk about the karma of the deniers, Jeffy4Z’s delayalists, and the great unwashed masses that don’t pay any attention unless it’s in their backyard.

    • rhymeswithgoalie Says:

      Karma doesn’t really pertain here. It doesn’t apply if the universe punishes everyone.

  2. indy222 Says:

    Hello DOG, nice to see you again…

    Yes, this has been in all the post-IPCC AR5 journal science I’ve been highlighting, and more besides. The utter refusal of 99% of humans to make use of their forebrain for anything more than cleverly getting their dopamine receptors stroked, is the real source of our grim future. Consider that Earth Day is now 50 years old, and the incredible optimism of the eco-friendlies of the 1970’s has brought us to……. today’s awful headlines. It’s not the Utopian nirvana we’d all expected, is it? If you really want to understand why, I can’t recommend a better integrative source on the Human Condition than Dr. Nate Hagens. His (long, as always) Earth Day 2021 YouTube presentation with slides should be required viewing for anyone in politics, anyone with responsibility for setting our future.

    And, there’s this recent paper (Bologna and Aquino 2020) in Nature, with a quantitative analysis of the prospects of surviving ourselves. The most optimistic result: 10%

    “In this paper we afford a quantitative analysis of the sustainability of current world population growth in relation to the parallel deforestation process adopting a statistical point of view. We consider a simplified model based on a stochastic growth process driven by a continuous time random walk, which depicts the technological evolution of human kind, in conjunction with a deterministic generalized logistic model for humans-forest interaction and we evaluate the probability of avoiding the self-destruction of our civilization. Based on the current resource consumption rates and best estimate of technological rate growth our study shows that we have very low probability, less than 10% in most optimistic estimate, to survive without facing a catastrophic collapse.”
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-020-63657-6

    • dumboldguy Says:

      “…We consider a simplified model based on a stochastic growth process driven by a continuous time random walk, which depicts the technological evolution of human kind, in conjunction with a deterministic generalized logistic model for humans-forest interaction…”

      JFC! No wonder the unwashed masses are ignorant—-reading the above will put them to sleep long before they get to the “good part” below. Ley’s hope they’re at least smart enough to jump over the scientific gobbledygook and look for what matters.

      “…our study shows that we have very low probability, less than 10% in most optimistic estimate, to survive without facing a catastrophic collapse.”

    • rhymeswithgoalie Says:

      This comes up in the calculation about the development of life capable of interstellar travel: The life form as to be both technically and socially capable of surviving its own environment-modifying power. Seeing how large subsets of humans are prone to acting against their long scale self-interest has put a real damper on the hopes of those of us who embraced optimistic SF in our distant youths.

  3. redskylite Says:

    A recent study reported in Mongabay reinforces the above sentiments.

    ===============================================
    Earth tipping points could destabilize each other in domino effect:-

    “Climate change has its own threshold of 350 parts per million (ppm) of CO2, which is the amount that scientists say the atmosphere can safely hold, but this threshold was already passed in 1988. ”

    https://news.mongabay.com/2021/06/earth-tipping-points-could-destabilize-each-other-in-domino-effect-study/

    • redskylite Says:

      Heat wave slams Siberia too

      “Ground Temperatures Hit 118 Degrees in the Arctic Circle

      While many heads swiveled to the American West as cities like Phoenix and Salt Lake City suffered shockingly hot temperatures this past week, a similar climatological aberrance unfolded on the opposite side of the world in the Arctic Circle. That’s not bizarre when you consider that the planet heating up is a global affair, one that isn’t picky about its targets. We’re all the target!”

      https://gizmodo.com/ground-temperatures-hit-118-degrees-in-the-arctic-circl-1847144505

      • rhymeswithgoalie Says:

        Aye, the US Southwest heating and drying up is not really a big surprise. It’s when there are heat waves in the Arctic (and stalled freeze waves in Texas) that people do a double-take.

  4. Brent Jensen-Schmidt Says:

    “SW Oz has been in drought for 40 years.”
    Observation, “The Sahara desert does not have droughts.” Ref ?.
    AKA, SW Oz has Become a desert.


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