Young Voters Played a Big Election Role

November 7, 2020

And many are climate voters.

Inside Climate News:

…young voters between 18 and 29 will have played a critical role in his election, turning out in force and favoring the former vice president over President Trump by 61 percent to 36 percent, according to an analysis by the Center for Information & Research on Civic Learning at Tufts University.

The Center concluded that those young voters, and particularly young people of color and women, may have helped put Biden over the edge in crucial battleground states, based on an analysis of votes counted by midday Friday. 

The Tufts’ center estimated the youth share of the vote in the 2020 election at 17 percent, compared to 16 percent in the 2016 presidential election and 13 percent in the 2018 midterms, based on the 2020 VoteCast from the Associated Press, the National Election Pool exit poll from Edison Research and its own analyses of census population data. That figure could change as more data becomes available and the election comes to a close.

The center, a non-partisan, independent research organization focused on youth civic engagement, also projected that once all votes are counted, youth turnout may rise to 53 to 56 percent, compared to 46 percent in the 2016 election and 36 percent in the 2018 midterms. That would represent the highest youth voter turnout since at least 1984.

Young Black, Asian and Latino voters supported Biden over Trump by margins of 77, 72 and 49 points respectively. By comparison, young white voters supported Biden over Trump by a margin of only 6 points. Support for the two candidates also divided along gender-based lines within racial and ethnic groups, with young white women preferring Biden over Trump by a 13-point margin, while young white men preferred Trump over Biden by a 6-point margin.

The center’s analysis also found substantial pro-Biden youth voter turnout in key battleground states, including in closely-watched Georgia, where youth comprised 21 percent of the vote and gave Biden a 19-point edge over Trump. Specifically, young Black voters, who favored Biden over Trump by an 82-point margin, “put Georgia in play,” the center said in its analysis. 

With a recount underway, Biden currently leads in Georgia by just over 4,000 votes. The center estimated that youth voter turnout across the 11 crucial battleground states of Arizona, Georgia, Iowa, North Carolina, Florida, Ohio, Montana, Colorado, Wisconsin, Texas and South Carolina could rise to 51 to 53 percent by the election’s end.

“In many ways, the energy young people have brought throughout this election cycle—that will have catapulted Joe Biden into the presidency if we get that result” and given him a “climate mandate” in office, Varshini Prakash, co-founder of the Sunrise Movement, a youth-led climate organization, said at a press conference on Thursday. 

One Response to “Young Voters Played a Big Election Role”

  1. neilrieck Says:

    ADVICE YOUNG VOTERS: Anyone only using the labels “liberal and conservative” this side of Y2K are uniformed and/or ignorant because today, most politicians are best labeled neo-liberal or neo-conservative (and you need a magnifying glass to see the difference between the last two). In 2016, not many voters could tell the difference between Trump (who promised to bring the troops home) and a hawkish Clinton (who claimed victory in her part as Secretary of State under Obama to get NATO countries to take down Libya (then, the most prosperous country in Africa)). The 2016 presidential votes came in close because Clinton was not a liberal and Trump was not a conservative. Since then, there have been “serious allegations” that Biden played a role (as VP under Obama) in attempting to get Ukraine to become a NATO country which led to numerous problems in that part of the world (did anyone not think about how this might look if the roles were reversed? has everyone already forgotten about the Cuba missile crisis?). Because Biden is also not a liberal, the 2020 presidential votes were not much different than those of 2016. This almost 50-50 thing will not go away until we return to classical definitions of liberal and conservative then scale back defense spending to pre 9/11 levels (under $300 billion). Who is an example of a true conservative? Look to retired representative, Ron Paul, who constantly called for “balanced budgets”, “reduced military spending”, along with an “end to foreign wars”. Who are examples of a true liberal? Look to Bernie Sanders or Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (comment: Nancy Pelosi is always arguing with AOC about being too liberal which means that Pelosi is also a new-liberal). Last week I read a report claiming that military adventurism in the middle-east which began with the Afghan war in 2002 has cost the American government 15-trillion dollars (that’s 15 thousand billion, BTW). So whenever anyone says “we cant afford liberal programs promoted by Sanders or AOC” what they really mean is “we can’t afford these programs -AND- fund our military programs”. The same thing was happening more than 50 years ago BTW. While Nixon was talking to Neil Armstrong on the moon in 1969, Nixon and Kissinger already knew that America couldn’t have “an expensive manned space program” -AND- “fight the war in Vietnam” so moon landings went on the chopping block and the stupid war in Vietnam was escalated. People: tax dollars can be spent to either create or destroy. IMHO 15-trillion would allow for everything from universal free health care to universal free education (kindergarten to university) if that is what the voters demand of their government.

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