Bluegrass version of his original.
Check out the exceptional mandolin solo.

In 2012, I spent time with Ben Pelto and his Dad Mauri surveying glaciers in the Northern Cascades. Ben is now a researcher working in British Columbia, and has some significant new results.

Interviewed by Stephen Colbert.

Worth your time but go to 5:00 if you’re in a hurry.

Oil has been on a downtrend.
Exxon projects prices will be lower than thought in the coming decade.

Gas also in a bind. Frackers continue to lose money with low prices – but if price goes up, cheap renewables continue to eat their lunch.

One wild card is will Russians and Saudis continue to pump enough to keep prices low, as they have for the last year. Welcome any intel on that.

Wall Street Journal:

Exxon Mobil Corp. has lowered its outlook on oil prices for much of the next decade, according to internal company documents reviewed by The Wall Street Journal.

As part of an internal financial-planning process conducted this fall, Exxon cut its expectations for future oil prices for each of the next seven years by 11% to 17%, according to the documents.

The sizable reduction suggests the Texas oil giant expects the fallout from the coronavirus pandemic to linger for much of the next decade. The fossil-fuel industry is also contending with increased competition from renewable-energy sources and electric vehicles, as well as the prospect of increased climate-change regulation around the world.

Unlike some rivals, Exxon doesn’t publish its internal views on commodity prices, which it views as proprietary. Some investors have pressured Exxon to release them, arguing that the forecasts are critical to understanding a company’s plans and the future value of its assets.

In 2019, Exxon had internally forecast that Brent oil prices, the global benchmark, would average around $62 a barrel for the next five years before increasing to $72 a barrel in 2026 and 2027, the documents state.

This summer, the company lowered that forecast to between $50 and $55 a barrel for the next five years, before eventually topping out at $60 a barrel in 2026 and 2027, according to the documents, which were dated September.

Brent oil is currently trading for about $47 a barrel after a jump in prices this week that has brought prices back to their highest levels since spring.

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Youtube channel called Sophie & Chris Ocean Sailing has some astounding footage.
These folks are rather hard core.

Description:

Voyage to South Georgia aboard sailing yacht, Pelagic Australis, with a team of wildlife photographers.

Watching the above brought this to mind.

New York Times:

An iceberg roughly the size of Delaware that is headed toward the sub-Antarctic island of South Georgia has experts worried about the possibility of it blocking wildlife from food sources and threatening the island’s ecosystem.

The iceberg, known as A68a, was about 400 kilometers, or about 250 miles, away from the coast of the British island territory of South Georgia as of Wednesday, the British Antarctic Survey said.

The iceberg may run aground near the island and be a few weeks out from the island’s coast, said Andrew Fleming, a remote sensing manager with the survey.

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An Antarctic Methane Seep

November 25, 2020

Above, stuff you stumble across while looking for other stuff. Scientists from Oregon State U exploring a Methane seep in Antarctica.

Amazing images. Narration leaves me with many questions.
I’ll be exploring more on methane in an upcoming video, stay tuned.

Below, my 2018 interview with Carolyn Ruppel of the US Geological Survey helps shed some light on methane’s reaction with ocean waters.
I broke out 6 short clips from our chat, which you can access here.

Two useful examples here.

Below, more bonus fun with Methane.

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Carbon emissions will be down some 8 or so percent this year globally.
Climate deniers have jumped on this as evidence of what a carbon constrained world will be – permanent recession – and sometimes climate advocates have scored own goals by playing into that messaging, celebrating a little too much about the consequences of a global catastrophe.

What we have in mind is something a bit different – lowering carbon emissions by switching a healthy economy from fossil fuels to renewable energy.

If we’re going to get there, we’re going to have to electrify everything.

Heat pumps will be big.

Bloomberg:

Whether you want to reduce the greenhouse gases your home produces or lower the cost of your utilities, a heat pump might seem like a good idea. Here are some important factors to consider before you make a purchase.

A Heat pump is both a Heater and an Air Conditioner.

The most commonly installed are air-source heat pumps, which resemble air conditioner units that sit outside your house. During winter, a liquid refrigerant in a copper coil extracts heat from the atmosphere as warm air naturally moves toward the cold. The heat transforms the refrigerant into a cold gas and a compressor then pressurizes the gas, raising its temperature and heating the air inside the house. The reverse happens in hot months, when heat inside the house is absorbed and transferred outside. That’s increasingly useful in temperate areas of the U.S., where people typically don’t have air conditioners but are being hit with climate-change-fueled heat waves.

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Above – Netflix suggestion for a long weekend.

NPR:

Just over a decade ago, the American Farm Bureau Federation declared war on legislation to slow down global warming. The organization, a lobbying powerhouse,argued that a “cap-and-trade” proposal making its way through Congress would make fuel and fertilizer more expensive and put farmers out of business.

Farmers swarmed Capitol Hill wearing caps with the words “Don’t Cap Our Future.” And it worked. The legislation died, derailing the boldest plan Congress had crafted to cut greenhouse gas emissions. 

Now, the Farm Bureau might be changing course. This week, it announced that it had formed a coalition that plans to push the government to adopt dozens of policy changesthat would make it easier for farmers to reduce emissions from agriculture. 

“We’re going to have a real common sense, science-based discussion about how we protect the climate, and our farmers want to be part of that,” said Zippy Duvall, president of the Farm Bureau.

The proposals don’t entail regulation or mandatory cuts to agricultural greenhouse gases. Instead, they are voluntary and sometimes involve paying farmers to reduce emissions. Still, the new Food and Agriculture Climate Alliance brings together groups that have often butted heads on environmental policy, from agricultural lobbies, like the Farm Bureau and the National Council of Farmer Cooperatives, to climate advocates, like the Environmental Defense Fund and the Nature Conservancy. 

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Genuinely creepy commercial above points to a real issue. New study of young people’s anxiety about the future.

Climatic Change – November 2020 – Eco-reproductive concerns in the age of climate change:

Media reports and public polls suggest that young people in many countries are increasingly factoring climate change into their reproductive choices, but empirical evidence about this phenomenon is lacking. This article reviews the scholarship on this subject and discusses the results of the first empirical study focused on it, a quantitative and qualitative survey of 607 US-Americans between the ages of 27 and 45. While 59.8% of respondents reported being “very” or “extremely concerned” about the carbon footprint of procreation, 96.5% of respondents were “very” or “extremely concerned” about the well-being of their existing, expected, or hypothetical children in a climate-changed world. This was largely due to an overwhelmingly negative expectation of the future with climate change. Younger respondents were more concerned about the climate impacts their children would experience than older respondents, and there was no statistically significant difference between the eco-reproductive concerns of male and female respondents. These and other results are situated within scholarship about growing climate concern in the USA, the concept of the carbon footprint, the carbon footprint of procreation, individual actions in response to climate change, temporal perceptions of climate change, and expectations about the future in the USA. Potential implications for future research in environmental psychology, environmental sociology, the sociology of reproduction, demography, and climate mitigation are discussed.

Guardian:

More than half of child and adolescent psychiatrists in England are seeing patients distressed about the state of the environment, a survey has revealed.

The findings showed that the climate crisis is taking a toll on the mental health of young people. The levels of eco-anxiety observed were notably higher among the young than the general population, according to the Royal College of Psychiatrists, which has just launched its first resources to help children and their parents cope with fears about environmental breakdown.

In a survey of its members working in the NHS in early September, the organisation asked: “In the last year have you seen patients who are distressed about environmental and ecological issues?”

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