New NASA Video: Sea Ice, Arctic Warming, and Fires
September 26, 2020
Great video, typically good graphics, new faces explaining this year’s arctic extremes.
Great vid to share with climate science newbies.
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September 26, 2020 at 10:26 pm
I really thought we would have had a zero minimum before now. After 2007 and 2012 I thought Maslowski had it right. On the other hand the melting of Greenland is faster than I expected.
September 27, 2020 at 6:33 pm
2030-2040 time frame has been most often quoted in my readings.
September 29, 2020 at 4:02 am
Remember that the metric is “area with at least 15% sea ice”.
September 26, 2020 at 11:21 pm
The exponential losses reasonably fit ending with the 2012 data, are now best fit with a linear loss rate, so maybe by 2030 we’ll be ice-free.
September 27, 2020 at 6:34 pm
all we really need is a “perfect storm” summer, and we could get there any year going forward.
barring that, 2030 and beyond looks likely.
September 27, 2020 at 4:12 am
Just posted it to the Neurologica blog “Climate Change and Wild Fires” article. There’s a commenter there who blames the California fires on poor forest management practices.
A treasured quote: “That the fire situation is not a worldwide phenomena and in fact seems counter to the trends the scientists have thus far identified, makes the global warming hypothesis seem unlikely.”
September 27, 2020 at 6:31 pm
upcoming vid will address the “forest management” idea.
It is a factor – Smokey the Bear was the Timber industry’s idea of a forester, and we would have been better served to follow the indigenous example, which I posted on recently.
https://climatecrocks.com/2020/09/16/to-mitigate-fire-look-to-indigenous-knowledge/
September 27, 2020 at 7:45 pm
I saw this recently. I’m sure you know what it covers, but it’s a good primer, and goes over forest management:
https://www.carbonbrief.org/explainer-how-climate-change-is-affecting-wildfires-around-the-world
Also, it explains why the total area burned globally per year has gone down consistently the last two decades. Interesting stuff – I wasn’t aware of that.
I’m sure you saw this, too, but it’s recent news:
Global warming driving California wildfire trends – study
https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-54278988
September 27, 2020 at 7:46 pm
And, for a laugh, there’s this: