Thinks it might be the mask.

Yeah, that’s the ticket.

Here’s the genius himself on climate change.

UPDATE: Below, yesterday, former Trump campaign manager Brad Parscale mocked Committee Chair Jerry Nadler for excoriating members unwilling to wear masks.

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Working on new vids with exactly this topic.

Fast Company:

As of early July, more than 30 million Americans were collecting unemployment. At some point, when the virus is defeated, they’ll need to return to work—but their old employer might no longer be in business to hire them back. What if we made new, more useful jobs for them instead?

new report calculates, in detail, what it would take to aggressively transition to a clean energy economy in the U.S. by 2035—the timeline needed to make it possible to hit the target of the Paris climate agreement—and finds that decarbonizing the economy could quickly create 25 million jobs. “For a world looking to bounce back from a pandemic, there is no other project that would create this many jobs,” the authors write.

The report, Mobilizing for a Zero Carbon America, starts with an obsessively detailed analysis of how energy is used in the U.S., and then maps out how everything from transportation to the power sector could be decarbonized over 15 years. That means electrifying almost everything. “Your next car needs to be electric, your next furnace a heat pump, and you need solar on your roof,” the authors write. “This is your personal zero-carbon infrastructure.” It also means building up the power grid with renewable energy to support the newly-electrified economy. Crucially, it doesn’t require inventing new technology; the report looks at how the transition can happen with tech that already exists.

“I think we have too many people believing we need a miracle, which we don’t,” says Saul Griffith, one of the authors of the report and a MacArthur “Genius Award” Fellow. “That obfuscates the dialogue. I just wanted to emphasize that we are there, and the technology and improvements we need are more along the lines of getting to scale, which will naturally give us big cost reductions.” Griffith and co-author Alex Lasky, a clean energy entrepreneur, have also founded a new nonprofit called Rewiring America focused on rapid decarbonization.

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But there is hope.

Conflict between hydropower and wildlife. As more dams are removed, populations can rebound.
This is why the credible plans for decarbonizing do not include more new hydro.

AFP via Courthouse News:

PARIS (AFP) — Populations of migratory river fish collapsed by 76% on average in the last 50 years, according to a report by conservation groups Tuesday, warning the “catastrophic” declines could impact people and ecosystems around the world.

Overfishing and loss of habitat have had a devastating impact on migratory fish, according to the research by groups including the International Union for the Conservation of Nature, WWF, World Fish Migration Foundation and the Zoological Society of London.

Almost one in three of all freshwater species are threatened with extinction, the report said, with migratory fish “disproportionately threatened.”   

The study looked at 247 species of fish from around the world and found that their populations had declined on average 3% per year between 1970 and 2016. 

Europe saw the sharpest falls of the regions studied, with a drop of 93%, while populations had shrunk an average of 84% in Latin America and the Caribbean.

“Catastrophic losses in migratory fish populations show we cannot continue destroying our rivers,” said Arjan Berkhuysen, managing director of the World Fish Migration Foundation. 

“This will have immense consequences for people and nature across the globe. We can and need to act now before these keystone species are lost for good.”

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Buckle up. Early predictions of an active storm season are bearing out in the Atlantic.

Tropical wave has now become Tropical Storm 9, and is expected to become Named storm Isaias later today or tomorrow.
Pronunciation guide here.

Common Dreams:

“Hate to say, ‘We told you so.'”

That comment came in a Monday tweet from climatologist Michael E. Mann, responding to a pair of meteorologists who noted the warm waters along the East Coast of the United States, which “means trouble for any tropical cyclones coming up the coast” for the next several weeks of the Atlantic hurricane season.

Mann, an atmospheric science professor at Penn State who directs the university’s Earth System Science Center (ESSC), and other experts have warned that human-driven global heating that’s warming the world’s oceans is already causing and will continue to cause more intense and devastating tropical storms and hurricanes.

In April, Mann, ESSC scientist Daniel J. Brouillette, and alumnus Michael Kozar released their pre-season forecast for the 2020 North Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from the beginning of June to the end of November. They predicted a range of 15 to 24 named storms, with a “best estimate” of 20, for this year’s season.

On Monday, Mann pointed out this was the first season in a decade for which they forecast up to 20 storms, then warned that “if anything, that might be too low…”

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In just 17 states, there is a theoretical 1000 Gigawatts potential, enough to power the entire US solely from wind, available with minimal wildlife impacts, according to new Nature Conservancy study.

The study focuses on Prairie and Great Plains areas, and leaves out a number of states that, with new technology, are now viable wind power areas, along with vast available offshore resources.

Wichita Eagle:

In 17 states in the central U.S. there is enough low impact land to house wind energy to meet or exceed any foreseeable renewable energy goal, according to a new analysis from The Nature Conservancy.

Wind energy development generates opposition for a few reasons, such as as the noise, lack of aesthetics and likely most notably, it’s danger to wildlife. The latter concern was why the project was developed. 

The study focused on finding land that had high wind energy capability and were low-impact sites, or areas where wind turbines wouldn’t endanger wildlife or encroach on protected land and was successful in finding enough land to potentially power the U.S.

“Within the broader wind belt region we have a 1,000 gigawatts of low impact wind potential that could be developed theoretically,” said Nathan Cummins, the project leader and the Great Plains Renewable Energy Strategy director. “That’s a ton of energy. That’s basically comparable to all of the electrical capacity of the United States right now.”

The project called Site Wind Right originated in Kansas, was finished in early July and covers 17 states in the U.S. “wind-belt.” It is available online in a map to help place wind projects with people, wildlife and environmental conservation in mind. 

It also states that in Kansas there are 4.4 million acres available for wind development, the third highest in the nation, following Texas and Iowa.

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Science Denial Kills

July 27, 2020

Been waiting for most useful take on this new paper.

You can hardly do better than Andy Dessler and Zeke Hausfather.

Andrew Dessler PhD and Zeke Hausfather in The Hill:

Climate change is real, caused by human activity and a serious problem that needs to be addressed. In a new study published last week, which one of us helped author, we’ve gotten a better understanding of exactly how serious. The good news is that some of the worst-case scenarios seem a bit less likely than before. The bad news is that it’s clearer than ever that warming will not be mild or modest in a world where we fail to cut emissions rapidly.

Climate scientists have been trying to narrow down how, exactly, the climate will respond to increasing levels of carbon dioxide (CO2) for well over a century. We call this “climate sensitivity” — in essence, how sensitive the climate is to our emissions. In 1979 a major report suggested that global surface temperatures would ultimately rise somewhere between 2.7 and 9.1 degrees Fahrenheit (1.5 and 4.5 degrees Celsius) if the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere was doubled. Thirty-five years later, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change gave the same range in their most recent assessment report.

A four-year effort led by 25 experts in the field has finally been able to give us a better understanding of how sensitive the climate actually is. By combining lines of evidence from physics-based studies, historical temperature records and records from the Earth’s more distant past — such as during the last ice age — we find that if the amount of CO2 doubles in the atmosphere, the world will likely warm between 4.7F and 7F (2.6C and 3.9C).  

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Guitarist Peter Green dead at 73.

Recent talk – 2019 – from Eric Rignot.
If you want the most recent, reliable take, this is your guy.

Big thanks to Climate State for posting this.

In Florida, it was forbidden for years for state employees to use the words “climate change”.
That ridiculous charade has come to an end, – you can say the words now, even if the science continues to be ignored.

More recently, the Florida governor has been suppressing and ignoring the best science from his own experts on the corona virus.
How’s that been going?

Washington Post:

As Florida became a global epicenter of the coronavirus, Gov. Ron DeSantis held one meeting this month with his top public health official, Scott Rivkees, according to the governor’s schedule. His health department has sidelined scientists, halting briefings last month with disease specialists and telling the experts there was not sufficient personnel from the state to continue participating.

“I never received information about what happened with my ideas or results,” said Thomas Hladish, a University of Florida research scientist whose regular calls with the health department ended June 29. “But I did hear the governor say the models were wrong about everything.”

DeSantis (R) this month traveled to Miami to hold a roundtable with South Florida mayors, whose region was struggling as a novel coronavirus hot spot. But the Republican mayor of Hialeah was shut out, weeks after saying the governor “hasn’t done much”for a city disproportionately affected by the virus.

As the virus spread out of control in Florida, decision-making became increasingly shaped by politics and divorced from scientific evidenceaccording to interviews with 64 current and former state and administration officials, health administrators, epidemiologists, political operatives and hospital executives. The crisis in Florida, these observers say, has revealed the shortcomings of a response built on shifting metrics, influenced by a small group of advisers and tethered at every stage to the Trump administration, which has no unified plan for addressing the national health emergency but has pushed for states to reopen.

There is a cult of ignorance in the United States..The strain of anti-intellectualism has been a constant thread winding its way through our political and cultural life, nurtured by the false notion that democracy means “my ignorance is just as good as your knowledge.”

— Isaac Asimov

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