50 Years on: The New Mission

July 21, 2019

The Drive:

Analysts believe that 2018 will go down as the best year for internal combustion vehicle sales ever, predicting a downturn in demand for the mode of propulsion starting in 2019.

“At the beginning of the year we had a more optimistic perspective for the global market,” said Felipe Munoz, global automotive analyst for Jato Dynamics, in Financial Times. “This has changed in the last six months.”

Predictions as of January were that internal combustion vehicle demand would continue to grow through 2022, but a plateau of sales in the three biggest vehicle markets of China, Europe, and the United States has meant that 2018 growth won’t be as large as expected, and future years may see demand shrink instead.

“We will probably see the peak of combustion engine car sales in 2018 based on global sales through October, plus estimates for November and December,” commented Munoz.

5 Responses to “50 Years on: The New Mission”

  1. rhymeswithgoalie Says:

    I pulled into a parking slot one hot afternoon last week, right next to a running SUV with the driver sitting there on her phone. As hot as the day was, as I moved to and from my car I noticed how much hotter it was when I passed that combustion engine.

    The one feature I miss on my 2015 Leaf is a sunroof. I look forward to having much greater choice in the future.

  2. rabiddoomsayer Says:

    Cities have to the most to gain from electric cars, with less noise and exhaust pollution and can do much to make city centres electric car friendly. Preferential parking alone could be a big incentive and if it isn’t plugged in, it gets towed.

    Stop start traffic, particularly short journeys, is where electric cars shine. Electric and hybrids recover much of the energy lost to braking. Diesel engines take and long time to warm up, petrol engines still take a while and a cold engine is inefficient (and wears quickly).

    City based electric is win/win.

    As for peak internal combustion I suspect it is more peak cars. “People who ain’t got money don’t buy no cars.”

    • dumboldguy Says:

      Yes, a HUGE win/win—–except for the fact that much electricity in this country is still generated by burning COAL, and when we replace coal plants we do it with natural gas burners.

      There is no “new” mission, just some eyewash thrown over the SAME OLD ONE—–plunder the planet for resources, make as much $$$ as fast as you can, share it with no one but your undeserving heirs, and the hell with everyone else and the “future”. I just watched the Atlas Shrugged video trilogy—-recommend it for anyone who wants to see what we are up against. Who is John Galt indeed!

      • rabiddoomsayer Says:

        The 1% are destroying that which gives value to their wealth. What value a mansion to the roaches and the mice who will inherit the earth if we carry on as we are.

      • rhymeswithgoalie Says:

        The early adopters of EVs probably heavily overlap the early adopters of solar charging, so when EVs go mainstream they’ll probably make a greater per-capita hit on the grid.

        On the other hand, how much [coal-generated] electricity is used to refine each gallon of oil? How much is used to pump those heavy, single-use molecules from place to place?

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