Bill Nye to Climate Denier: Wanna Bet?

April 11, 2016

Desmog Blog:

One of America’s most outspoken deniers of the link between fossil fuel burning and global warming has refused $20,000 in bets that the planet will keep getting hotter.

Offering the two bets to Marc Morano, of the conservative think tank the Committee for a Constructive Tomorrow (CFACT), is popular television science presenter Bill Nye, “the science guy”.

Nye said he was willing to bet Morano that 2016 would be one of the ten hottest years on record. He also offered a bet the current decade would be the hottest on record.

Morano turned down both bets, telling DeSmog it was “silly” to take a bet when it was “obvious” the official records would show more global warming.

According to NASA measurements, 14 of the 16 hottest years on record have all happened since the year 2000.  Last year, 2015, was also the hottest on record.

Nye offered the bets during a yet-to-be-screened interview requested by Morano, who is busy promoting his new Climate Hustle film. Here is an excerpt of their exchange, including the bets offered by Nye to Morano:



14 Responses to “Bill Nye to Climate Denier: Wanna Bet?”

  1. peterangelo Says:

    Great Job by Bill Nye, you could almost see some Humanity start to drip out of Marc “Climate Denier” Morano!!!

  2. Tom Bates Says:

    Since just about every decade since 1625 has been hotter than the previous, it would be silly to take that bet. The question is not if it is warmer, the question is if man is actually warming the planet by releasing CO2. Since the long term ocean rise trend is 3 inches in 100 years, Antarctica is gaining land ice as is Greenland, while the north Atlantic is colder it may or may not be getting colder. When El Nino goes away the Giss warming record will decrease. Bill Nye bet was just stupid theater not having anything to do with the actual state of the climate. I am pretty sure Bill has looked up the NASA model on warming do to changes in earths tilt and orbit, 25000 years of warming so he was trying to make a sucker bet.

    • “…not having anything to do with the actual state of the climate…”, pretty much sums up all of your ridiculous comments perfectly.

    • Kimo Warner Says:

      To contend that the El Nino isn’t part of climate is silly. ALL of the oscillations, NAO, El Ninp/La Nina are integral parts of climate and you can’t legitimately separate them out.
      Historic sea level rise was 1.7mm per year. Now it’s 3.2mm per yr. If the rate of rise doesn’t increase, then that’s over 14 inches in a hundred years. If the rise continues to increase at the same rate as today, it’s four feet in a hundred years. If he rate of rise increases as it has in the last thirty years, it would be over 4 feet in a hundred years.
      Yes, the planet is heating because of CO2 released by human activity. It makes for more water vapor in the atmosphere. And methane. Rapid rise now. RATE of change is as important as total change. With time, adaptation and accommodation can possibly be made. Without enough time, no chance. Welcome to NTHE Near Term Human Extinction.

    • Sir Charles Says:

      Since when? Since 1625? LOL Where do you pull your myths out of? Right out of your butt? LOL

      Listen to some jazz:

    • Glen Koehler Says:

      1. The effect of CO2 on global average temperature is no more controversial among people who study these things than gravity. Multiple studies, both observational and theortical, point to a global sensitivity of about 3C in the long term (the majority of the CO2 impact occurs in first 30 years).

      2. West Antarctic is declining rapidly and irreversibly. See recent DeConto and Pollard 2016. There has been some back and forth about East Antarctic land ice, but consensus seems pretty clear that it too declining and contributing to sea level rise.

      3. Whoever told you Greenland is gaining ice is just plain wrong.

      4. Yes El Nino causes a short term rise in NASA GISS and other global surface temps. But look at the trend since 1976. It goes up a lot, it comes down less, it goes up some more. It’s like a staircase. There is too much noise in the system for it to go up a little bit each year, but the trend is undeniable.

      5. Yes, the global tilt, orbital shape etc. affect climate over long cycles of 21,000 to 100,000+ years. The rates of those changes are infinitesimal compared to what’s happened since 1976 because of our greenhouse gas emissions. And the orbital influences are currently towards a cooler climate, not a warmer one.

      I don’t like climate change either. It is already raising havoc and will do a LOT more if we don’t turn our emissions trend downward and fast. But dismissing the fact that there is a problem won’t make it go away.

      Great work by Bill Nye. No point in hating anybody. Just imagine the impact if Marc Morano used his immense energy, talent and charm for truth instead of deception.

    • otter17 Says:

      Not everyone with the denial sphere agrees with you, and depending on which blog science source you follow, the message changes from week to week, or even shorter than that!

      Deniers have zero consistency among themselves concerning whether the world is warming or not. They use the “no warming” argument sometimes, but make the “obviously it is warming, but not due to GHGs” argument as well. Failing those, they might admit that their biases are what drive their thinking on the issue when they make the argument that “there is no way humanity could ever reduce GHG emissions anyway”. That really gets to the heart of the issue. If a person feels that the solution to a problem is intractable, then the problem itself will likely be denied to avoid the dissonance.

  3. Andy Lee Robinson Says:

    Well done Bill!

    The friend of the world is Nye!

  4. Morano is aptly named.

  5. According to NASA measurements, 14 of the 16 hottest years on record have all happened since the year 2000.

    I’ve seen this repeated many times, and have often questioned it, but never got an answer. The NASA GIS temperature set is available at It clearly shows that 15 of the 16 hottest years have been since 2000, whether you go by calendar year (Jan — Dec) or seasonal year (Dec — Nov). 1998 is the one and only 20th century year that falls in the range of 21st century temperatures. None of the others even come close. What’s supposed to be the second one?

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