Scientists React to Paris Agreement

December 19, 2015

I bagged 15 great interviews at AGU, and will be sharing soon, but, having just gotten home and being fried and frazzled,  I’m glad Roz Pidcock of Carbon Brief beat me to the punch with this great collection.

Carbon Brief:

Here are a few scientists Carbon Brief found at the conference to share their thoughts on what the Paris agreement means and where the world goes from here.

  • Dr Jason Box – Professor at the Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland on countries’ pledges and meeting the 2C target.
  • Prof Ram Ramanathan – Professor of atmospheric and climate sciences at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography and member of the Holy See delegation at COP21 on a global achievement.
  • Dr Friederike Otto – Senior researcher on extreme weather attribution at the Environmental Change Institute at the University of Oxford on recognising the threat to developing countries.
  • Dr Dáithí Stone – Research scientist in the detection and attribution of extreme weather at the Lawrence Berkeley Lab on loss and damage.
  • Zeke Hausfather – Energy systems analyst and environmental economist at Berkeley Earth on the carbon budget for 1.5C, the ratchet mechanism and carbon capture.
  • Dr Ricarda Winkelmann – Junior professor of climate system analysis at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Change Impacts on tipping points in the Antarctic ice sheet.

 

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6 Responses to “Scientists React to Paris Agreement”

  1. dumboldguy Says:

    So, if I get the general drift, all are pleased that we finally seem to have gotten everyone aboard on an agreement, but, with greater or lesser degrees of waffling, beating around the bush, and “cautious optimism”, they are all worried that we are not going to make it, or at least not soon enough to avoid some serious disruption.

    Question. If Exxon and the Merchants of Doom had not been denying and obfuscating the truth for all these years, and the world had realized what a problem we faced sooner, could we have come to such an agreement a decade or more ago and not found ourselves so far behind the curve?

    • petermogensen Says:

      Hard to say … It’s a tempting conclusion, but one has to realize that part of what it took to get this agreement is also that the Chinese have realized that they have a huge problem too.

      • dumboldguy Says:

        Yes, and the Chinese still have a long way to go before they begin to solve their problem in any substantive way. I am more confident in China doing what they must because they DO have that huge problem and have managed to make it a good way up the hill into “developed nation” status.

        I am not as confident that India and the other developing nations that are 10 years behind China on the curve will forsake fossil fuels to the extent that they must (or that the West will come up with the $$$ to help them). I see a lot of coal burning in their future, or at least until some SHTF events scare them badly.

        • markle2k Says:

          China makes news because of the photogenic skylines of Beijing and Shanghai, but most of the top-10 PM2.5 polluted cities are in India or the subcontinent. They are on the margin where chronic illness is cutting in on the cost of burning coal.

          • dumboldguy Says:

            Yep, the good old “brown cloud”, PM2.5 from burning diesel fuel, coal, and animal dung, and black carbon in general are likely to make things hellish for some in the subcontinent before long. And if the Himalayan snow pack fails even more than it has, the rivers will start running low just when they’re needed most, and AGW may also cause the failure of the monsoon.

            The Indians have built a rather flimsy fence all along the border with Bangladesh, the Indians and Pakistanis have ~250 nuclear weapons between them, the Chinese alone have ~250 nuclear weapons, and the three countries have had shooting wars among them in the past. If and when the water wars begin over there, it’s not going to be pretty.

            Sleep tight, all. It’s Holiday Season so Ho-Ho-Ho and visions of sugar plums dancing in your head and all that.

        • petermogensen Says:

          I have colleagues in India… You are totally dependent on air condition to work at all when the temperature approaches 48 degress C.
          India cannot afford to gamble with the climate.


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