Climate Denial Wilting in Heat Ahead of Paris Climate Meeting
October 16, 2015
A New National Survey on Energy and the Environment (NSEE) from the Gerald Ford School of Public Policy at the University of Michigan shows acceptance of mainstream science near an all time high, bouncing back from the low point in 2009, following the widely reported but pathetically counterfeit “climategate” story.
We’ve seen a flurry of equally spurious “science” stories in recent weeks, claims that this or that new discovery is going to overturn 150 years of physics, but they turn out, as always, to be more diversions and smoke. A lot of people are concerned we will yet see some kind of diversion in the run-up to an important international climate conference in Paris, but a tide of public acceptance of the science, and a cadre of journalists inoculated against denial nonsense, – seems sure to roll over it.
For the first time since 2008 at least 7 out of 10 Americans indicate that they believe there is solid evidence of global warming over the past four decades. This 70% belief level is the second highest mark in the history of the National Surveys on Energy and the Environment (NSEE) falling just short of the 72% record level reported in Fall 2008. This increased level of acceptance of evidence of global warming coincides with the lowest percentage of Americans expressing doubt in solid evidence of global warming in the history of the NSEE. The Fall 2015 survey shows that only 16% of adult Americans currently believe there is not solid evidence of global warming, a mark 1% lower than the previous record of 17% recorded in Fall 2008.
- More Americans than at any time since 2008 indicate that there is solid evidence of increasing temperatures on Earth with 70% of residents now maintaining that view. Similarly, a record low number of Americans (16%) say that there is not evidence of global warming.
- A majority of Republicans (56%) now believe that there is solid evidence of global warming, up from 47% a year ago, joining solid majorities of Democrats (79%) and Independents (69%)
- Americans who believe there is evidence of global warming are also increasingly confident in their belief, with a record 65% saying they are “very confident” in their appraisal.
- Severe drought across many parts of the United States has become the factor most cited by Americans as having a “very large” effect on their position that global warming is occurring. A record 61% of Americans who indicate there is evidence of global warming said severe droughts were having a very large effect on their belief.
- In previous NSEE surveys, large majorities of American who do not believe there is evidence of global warming have pointed to local weather observations as the basis for their position. In the Fall 2015 survey, however, more than a third (34%) of those doubtful of global warming said local weather observation has “no effect” on their views about climate change, the highest percentage in the history of the NSEE.
In case you hadn’t read the big news, it was brought to us by famous climate change journalist Miranda Devine (not an actual climate change journalist) reporting on the latest theory of climate change expert David Evans (not an actual expert and not an actual theory).
Under the headline “Perth electrical engineer’s discovery will change climate change debate”, News Corp Australia columnist Devine wrote that “if” climate science denialist blogger Evans was correct “then he has proven the theory on carbon dioxide wrong and blown a hole in climate alarmism”.
Wow. A Nobel prize in the offing for Evans for disproving more than a century of science without ever having published a single paper on climate change in any peer reviewed journal? Devine will surely be in line for a Walkley (the Aussie Pulitzer).
OK. Enough of the sarcasm.
Evans is a climate science denier who has been claiming for years that the science linking carbon dioxide emissions to dangerous global warming is largely a scam, perhaps, as he once wrote, linked to international bankers, or something.
Evans has been writing a series of posts (we’re up to 11 so far) on the blog of his wife, JoNova, where he claims to have found fundamental problems with climate models meaning that CO2 isn’t the key culprit in warming the planet. Another supportive News Corp Australia climate science denialist, Andrew Bolt, has provided a summary of Evans’ claims.
Devine was so confident in Evans’ Galileo-like abilities, that she didn’t feel the need to check them with an actual climate scientist.
Neither did the New Daily, which lifted the story from Devine’s column for the headline “Perth Engineer Claims Huge Climate Change Discovery”.
Prof Matt England, of the University of New South Wales climate change research centre, had this to say:
David Evans has a superb track record of dodgy claims and bizarre climate change theories. He has zero credibility in the field and it’s staggering that any credible journalist could fall for this rubbish.