Ice Cream May Lose out to Climate Change

August 6, 2015

Ben and Jerry’s:

Farmers plant, grow and harvest based on, more or less, consistent and predictable weather— but if we don’t curb carbon emissions the new normal will become intensified rains and prolonged droughts that can ruin a whole season’s crops. Here are 3 Ben & Jerry’s ingredients that are in climate change’s crosshairs, putting the flavors that use those ingredients on the “Endangered Pints List.”

Cocoa, aka Chocolate:
From Phish Food to Chocolate Fudge Brownie, chocolate is the foundation of many Ben & Jerry’s flavors. A study by the International Center for Tropical Agriculture points out that an increase of 2.3 degrees Celsius in West Africa by 2050 would make the region too warm to grow cocoa. A recent Earth Security Index report showed that unsustainable farming practices over the past 4 decades have already taken a bite out of 40% of land available for cocoa crops. Climate change is putting pressure on this shaky production model by exacerbating droughts worldwide. Farmers dependent on this crop for their survival are turning to more resilient plants, or just giving up cocoa overall. What happens in Ghana and Cote d’Ivoire— which account for around 60% of the world’s chocolate production alone— may spell chocolate disaster for ice cream everywhere.

Nuts
From walnuts to pistachios, the nutty texture of flavors like Chunky Monkey are facing a serious, ahem, crunch. It turns out that nut trees adapted to temperate regions require a winter chill to stimulate spring growth. That sort of weather is looking like it will be in short supply with the intensifying temperatures in key nut growing regions including California, southeastern U.S., China and Australia. Already, the loss of winter chill has hit nut crops in Israel, Morocco, Tunisia and the Cape region of South Africa. Tree crops, unlike ground crops, take a lot longer to plant and reach maturity, making it relatively impossible to relocate when the weather changes. It won’t be adaptation, it’ll be starting over. That’s a tough nut to crack.

Those spiking temperatures are also causing problems for the humble, if totally misnamed, legume that’s critical for flavors like Peanut Butter Cup. We count on peanut butter for its consistently smooth texture, but the peanut plant itself is fickle, requiring consistent temps and just the right amount of rainfall to flourish. A severe southwest dry out in 2011 shriveled the year’s U.S. crop, sending prices shooting up 40%. Unfortunately, the 2013 National Climate Assessment from the U.S. Global Change Research Program predicts that climate change will lead to hotter and drier summers for the southern states that are the main peanut producers in the U.S. Gnarly price increases could make peanut butter an elite delicacy.

Coffee
Getting out the door in the morning without a cup of coffee just seems crazy, but a reality with limited espresso— and no flavors like Coffee Coffee BuzzBuzzBuzz— is already shaping up. Because this plant is adapted to specific climate zones, just ½ degree warming of temperature can stunt the global coffee crop. The scary part is that we are well on our way to exceed that level of warming. Too much moisture is also bad, and the recent uptick in unseasonable and extreme rainfall events has seen Indian growers’ crop decline by nearly 30% between 2002 and 2011. As with many crops, climate change has also increased the range of critical coffee pests, including the coffee berry borer. The result as a whole is devastating, with one study predicting the number of pre-existing regions suitable for growing coffee to shrink anywhere from 65–100% by 2080. As the Union of Concerned Scientists puts it, it’s time to wake up and smell the coffee.Will these ingredients disappear? We certainly hope not. Join us in putting a stop to climate change and protecting these flavors from the “Endangered Pints List.”

The Guardian:

The world is running out of chocolate. That’s because climate change and crippling poverty are driving Africa’s cocoa farmers to produce other crops. Which is a bit rubbish because your date’s chocolate mousse is set to get a lot pricier.

In four decades, the amount of land available for growing cocoa has dropped 40%. In the next 40 years, the temperature in Ghana and Cote d’Ivoire, where 70% of cocoa is grown, is set to rise by 2C. That’s going to make it too hot and dry for cocoa trees.

We’re already on the way to peak chocolate. By 2020, world cocoa demand is set to outstrip supply by 1m tonnes. That’s 90,909,090,909 Lindt balls.

When there are people suffering in poor countries, there’s nothing worse than a hangover. Except maybe a hangover with no coffee. Annoyingly, the coffee growers of flooded Honduras and drought stricken Brazil and all those other places you didn’t know your coffee came from might not be able to get coffee beans to grow in a warmer climate …

The problem has already started to impact you in Vietnam, where farmers have run out of water and stopped sending coffee overseas.

Amazingly coffee growers don’t tend to drink much coffee. Maybe because they earn roughly half the price of a cappuccino a day..

 

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6 Responses to “Ice Cream May Lose out to Climate Change”

  1. Glenn Martin Says:

    It seems to me that the food corporations are the only ones with the money to start buying farmland in regions that will become agreeable to produce these foods. They’ll end up controlling the production as well as the distribution.

  2. 1happywoman Says:

    I’ve already stopped eating cocoa powder, cacao nibs, and my favorite dark chocolate bar because of cadmium and lead contamination:

    http://www.asyousow.org/our-work/environmental-health/toxic-enforcement/lead-and-cadmium-in-food/

  3. indy222 Says:

    Flooding all coastal cities and inheriting a hot, muggy, mosquito-infested world full of tropical diseases and parched crops, is one thing, but losing ICE CREAM – I say we MUST draw the line before this happens!

    • dumboldguy Says:

      Losing ice cream would indeed be a tragedy, but losing chocolate would be even worse! Life is not worth living without chocolate, and although 1happywoman’s lead and cadmium contamination has nothing to do with climate change, she scared me half to death with it.

      After checking the link, I AM glad to see that it seems to be the foo-foo brands from the foo-foo stores that are the most contaminated. We will still be able to go to Walmart and get our Hershey’s Kisses, Dark Chocolate Raisinettes (count as fruit too), and M&M’s.

  4. blied7656 Says:

    Awesome angle. Great way to drill down to the details of how climate is linked to life’s daily pleasures.

  5. Phillip Shaw Says:

    Peter, just as the coffee growers can’t afford to drink much coffee, the cocoa bean growers can’t afford chocolate bars. Here is a fun video of Ivory Coast growers trying chocolate for the first time.


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